Calm Before the Storm

Posted by Patrick Ceresna on Oct 19, 2016 6:42:37 PM

John Hussman wrote a great article discussing the current market and the asymmetric risk facing 
investors today. The "BOLD" is our emphasis. 
John P. Hussman, Ph.D. 
Originally posted October 17, 2016

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Topics: Market Crash, S&P 500

Does the "January Effect" Predictor Still Work?

Posted by Patrick Ceresna on Dec 30, 2013 3:08:00 PM

In the past, the month of January has had a good track record in predicting the trend of the stock market for the upcoming calendar year. Through history the “January Effect” was a result of tax-loss selling which causes investors to sell their losing positions at the end of December or subsequently waiting until January to take their profits to defer the capital gains a further year. Let’s review the tendencies.

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Topics: Market Forecast, market outlook, S&P 500

Seasonality and Christmas Rallies

Posted by Patrick Ceresna on Dec 16, 2013 3:31:00 PM

Sell in May and go away has been a well observed seasonal trend tracked by the Stock Trader’s Almanac since 1950.  It makes complete sense why it occurs in regards to lower trading volumes during the summer and increased investment flows during the winter months. 

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Topics: Market Rally, S&P 500, Market Cycles

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